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Decisiones bajo incertidumbre

Author

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  • Ignacio Velez-Pareja

    ()

Abstract

Este es material de curso del libro Decisiones Empresariales bajo Riesgo e Incertidumbre. El nivel del libro es basico. Se usan muy pocas matematicas y puede ser usado por gerentes. En este tercer capitulo se trata la idea de la incertidumbre. Se ilustran los diferentes enfoques de teoria de juegos: minimax, maxmax, minimum regret, metodo de Laplace, etc. Tambien se incluye un metodo simple para estimar la probabilidad de un evento y un metodo para estimar la distribucion de probabilidad subjetiva.

Suggested Citation

  • Ignacio Velez-Pareja, 2009. "Decisiones bajo incertidumbre," PROYECCIONES FINANCIERAS Y VALORACION 005682, MASTER CONSULTORES.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000463:005682
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    File URL: http://ssrn.com/abstract=986876
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Uncertainty; game theory; subjective probability distributions;

    JEL classification:

    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies

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