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Una panorámica sobre la evolución de la deuda externa colombiana. ¡Juegos Ponzi! ¿Hasta cuándo?

  • Andrés Ramírez Hassan

    ()

En este artículo se analiza la evolución temporal de la deuda externa colombiana durante las últimas décadas enfatizando en sus dos grandes componentes: la deuda pública y la deuda privada. El análisis se realizará a partir del estudio de la relación de la deuda con la cuenta corriente. La investigación considerará el componente permanente de las series en cuestión y la senda temporal de dicho componente a través del tiempo. Además, se estiman las implicaciones del comportamiento de la deuda desde la perspectiva de un modelo estocástico para una pequeña economía abierta y la restricción presupuestaria que se impone a partir de la prohibición de juegos Ponzi. Luego se realizan algunas reflexiones sobre la sostenibilidad de la deuda externa.

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Paper provided by UNIVERSIDAD NACIONAL DE COLOMBIA SEDE MEDELLIN in its series ENSAYOS DE ECONOMÍA with number 009043.

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Length: 25
Date of creation: 30 Nov 2003
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Handle: RePEc:col:000418:009043
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