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Estructura y crecimiento departamental. Una lectura tipo Shift-Share

  • Néstor Garza Puentes

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    Este trabajo examina el crecimiento económico departamental en Colombia durante el periodo1975-2000 y los subperiodos 1975-1990 y 1990-2000, haciendo énfasis en el impacto que la estructuraproductiva tiene sobre los diferentes desempeños observados. Al efecto se utilizan especificacionesde la metodología Shift-Share. Además, se emplea una desagregación de la produccióna 14 sectores y dos especificaciones regionales, en atención a las características sui generis de losNuevos Departamentos y La Guajira, así como al carácter integrado de Bogotá y Cundinamarca.Una de las conclusiones principales es que las especializaciones agropecuaria e industrial no sondinámicas, pero sus procesos de especialización sí lo son. Por otra parte, las especializacionesen minería y en ciertos tipos de servicios, especialmente de gobierno, son claramente ganadorasen términos de su aportación al crecimiento, aunque la evidencia en favor de efectos endógenoslocales es menos clara.

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    Paper provided by UNIVERSIDAD DEL NORTE in its series DOCUMENTOS IEEC with number 007288.

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    Length: 31
    Date of creation: 30 Nov 2006
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    Handle: RePEc:col:000383:007288
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