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Modelo De Ingreso Permanente Para La Determinaci�N De La Cuenta Corriente

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  • Felipe Su�rez Parra

Abstract

En el presente art�culo se presenta una breve descripci�n de la cuenta corriente en Colombia desde 1950 y posteriormente se analiza la relaci�n entre el consumo privado y la cuenta corriente. Esta relaci�n se analiza mediante un modelo intertemporal de la cuenta corriente derivado a partir de la teor�a de ingreso permanente, que permite encontrar los niveles �ptimos de la cuenta corriente bajo este enfoque. En este art�culo se analiza la cuenta corriente como el ahorro externo de la econom�a. De acuerdo a la teor�a del ingreso permanente el ahorro de la econom�a debe suavizar los choques transitorios o anticipados al ingreso. El objetivo del trabajo es comprobar si efectivamente la cuenta corriente, durante el periodo 1950 – 1996, se ha comportado como esta teor�a lo predice y, si lo ha hecho, analizar los periodos en que la cuenta corriente observada se ha alejado significativamente de la que la teor�a predecir�a.

Suggested Citation

  • Felipe Su�rez Parra, 1999. "Modelo De Ingreso Permanente Para La Determinaci�N De La Cuenta Corriente," Borradores de Economia 3237, Banco de la Republica.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000094:003237
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