IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/col/000089/021422.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Ingresos Vitalicios en la Vejez: Esquemas de Desacumulación en el Sistema Pensional Colombiano

Author

Listed:
  • Dino Francisco Córdoba Lache

    (Universidad de los Andes)

Abstract

Los sistemas de pensiones de capitalización individual enfrentan desafíos globales en la oferta y demanda de productos de retiro de carácter vitalicio. En respuesta, se han propuesto distintos esquemas de desacumulación encaminados a fomentar su participación dentro de las distintas modalidades de retiro. Por medio de un conjunto de simulaciones de Montecarlo, el presente trabajo evalúa cuantitativamente los esquemas de Tontinas Modernas y Separación Vertical en el mercado de productos de retiro de Colombia usando datos anonimizados del Régimen de Ahorro Individual con Solidaridad. Los resultados de las simulaciones muestran que las Tontinas Modernas elevan en promedio las anualidades recibidas por los afiliados en un 9,8% y 9,2 %, y reducen su costo fiscal asociado en 4,1% y 4,7% para hombres y mujeres, respectivamente. Mientras que la Separación Vertical - esquema mixto entre las Tontinas Modernas y los seguros de longevidad- logra mitigar la alta volatilidad que presentan los créditos derivados de las dinámicas de mortalidad de la cohorte. Estos resultados son un valioso insumo para intervenciones políticas en el sistema pensional colombiano, considerando aspectos financieros, fiscales y de bienestar social. Individual capitalization pension systems face global challenges in the supply and demand of lifetime retirement products. In response, various payout schemes have been proposed to promote their adoption across different retirement modalities. Using a set of Monte Carlo simulations, this paper quantitatively evaluates the Modern Tontine and Vertical Separation schemes in the Colombian retirement products market, based on anonymized data from the Individual Savings with Solidarity Regime. The simulation results show that Modern Tontines increase the average annuity received by affiliates by 9.8% and 9.2 %, and reduce the associated fiscal cost by 4.1% and 4.7% for men and women, respectively. Meanwhile, the Vertical Separation scheme—a hybrid model combining Modern Tontines and longevity insurance—effectively mitigates the high volatility in benefits derived from cohort mortality dynamics. These findings provide valuable input for policymaking in the Colombian pension system, considering financial, fiscal, and social welfare aspects.

Suggested Citation

  • Dino Francisco Córdoba Lache, 2025. "Ingresos Vitalicios en la Vejez: Esquemas de Desacumulación en el Sistema Pensional Colombiano," Documentos CEDE 2025-21, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000089:021422
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstreams/handle/1992/76713/dcede2025-21.pdf
    File Function: https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstreams/handle/1992/76713/dcede2025-21.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstreams/handle/1992/76713/dcede2025-21.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:col:000089:021422. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Universidad De Los Andes-Cede (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ceandco.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.