IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/col/000089/020696.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Reforma pensional e informalidad laboral en Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Sergio Clavijo

Abstract

Este documento analiza las implicaciones de las reformas pensional y laboral radicadas recientemente por la Administración Petro (2022-2026). Ellas apuntan a establecer un cuasi-monopolio público bajo un sistema de "reparto simple" (Colpensiones), al tiempo que se vuelve más costosa la contratación laboral en horas nocturnas, dominicales y los despidos. Aquí presentamos métricas de informalidad laboral (cercanas al 85% según el PILA), las cuales ilustran la baja probabilidad de lograrse los tiempos mínimos de cotización (sector público) y/o de montos ahorrados (sector privado) requeridos para acceder a una renta vitalicia. También cuantificamos el esfuerzo fiscal requerido para llegar a sustituir por partidas presupuestales los elevados costos no-salariales empresariales, bordeando actualmente el 51% sobre la nómina. Por último, pasamos revista a las alternativas de subsidios permanentes ("renta universal"), temporales (BEPs) y concluimos que la única manera de tenerse soluciones estructuralmente sostenibles, desde la óptica fiscal y laboral, consiste en apuntalar esfuerzos pro-ahorro y formalidad laboral, dejando como complementarios los programas de apoyos asistenciales.

Suggested Citation

  • Sergio Clavijo, 2023. "Reforma pensional e informalidad laboral en Colombia," Documentos CEDE 20696, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000089:020696
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstream/handle/1992/66085/dcede2023-09.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Seguridad Social; Política Pública; Pensiones; LatinoAmérica;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
    • I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
    • J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:col:000089:020696. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Universidad De Los Andes-Cede (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ceandco.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.