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Forecasting E-Substitution and Mail Demand

  • Urs Trinkner


  • Martin Grossmann

Based on historical data from 1980 to 2004 the paper analyzes the main drivers of mail demand and the impact of e-substitution by using time-series techniques. We find strong evidence for e-substitution. In the second part of the paper we provide forecasts for future mail volumes.

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Paper provided by Swiss Economics in its series Working Papers with number 0002.

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Length: 14 pages
Date of creation: Jul 2005
Date of revision: Jul 2006
Publication status: Published in Progress towards Liberalization of the Postal and Delivery Sector, edited by M. A. Crew and P. R. Kleindorfer, New York: Springer, 267-280
Handle: RePEc:chc:wpaper:0002
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