Sudan Debt Dynamics: Status Quo, Southern Secession, Debt Division, and Oil - A Financial Framework for the Future - Working Paper 233
The people of Southern Sudan are scheduled to vote in a referendum on whether to remain unified with the central government in Khartoum or break away to form a new, fully independent country. While the Khartoum government remains committed to a unified Sudan, all indications suggest that the Southern Sudanese will vote for secession by an overwhelming majority. Khartoum’s willingness to accept the potential losses remains unclear. Many suspect that its ultimate actions will depend, at least in part, upon the resolution of key outstanding issues, such as oil and debt. This paper contributes to ongoing discussions about the role of Sudan’s $35 billion in external debt obligations – both for a unified Sudan and a possible Southern secession. First, it examines Sudan’s existing debt dynamics and the potential eligibility for traditional debt relief and multilateral debt relief initiatives. Second, it outlines potential options for dividing Sudan’s external debt obligations in the event of a Southern secession. Third, it estimates external indebtedness rations under each debt division scenario and the potential relevance of traditional debt relief treatments. Lastly, the paper provides an indicative roadmap for clearing Sudan’s loan arrears of $30 billion and potentially securing comprehensive debt relief in the future.
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cgd:wpaper:233. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (David Roodman)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.