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Inequality and Market Power: Evidence from the United States and China

Author

Listed:
  • Yumin Hu
  • Luca Macedoni
  • Mingzhi (Jimmy) Xu

Abstract

Using barcode-level data from the NielsenIQ Homescan Consumer Panel, we study how income inequality affects the prices of identical goods across US counties. We find that higher inequality reduces prices for products with low market shares but increases prices for products with high market shares. With higher inequality, larger firms, which sell more high-market-share goods, tend to raise prices, while smaller firms lower them. We find a similar pattern using Chinese export data across countries. To interpret these findings, we develop a model where a mean-preserving spread in income affects pricing through the convexity of demand and the convexity of the price derivative of demand with respect to income. We derive conditions under which inequality raises the price elasticity for low-market-share products and lowers it for high-market-share products, matching our empirical results.

Suggested Citation

  • Yumin Hu & Luca Macedoni & Mingzhi (Jimmy) Xu, 2025. "Inequality and Market Power: Evidence from the United States and China," CESifo Working Paper Series 12181, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_12181
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    JEL classification:

    • L11 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms
    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution
    • D43 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Oligopoly and Other Forms of Market Imperfection
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

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