IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ces/ceswps/_12139.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The EU’s New Expenditure Rule and Its Implications for Monetary Policy

Author

Listed:
  • Vasilki Dimakopoulou
  • George Economides
  • Apostolis Philippopoulos

Abstract

This paper investigates whether the new expenditure rule of the European Union (EU) can restore dynamic stability and determinacy with bounded public debt in an otherwise unstable economic environment. We build upon the standard New Keynesian dynamic general equilibrium model so as to compare our results to the well-known results of Leeper (1991, 2016) and, more generally, to the literature on the fiscal-monetary policy mix. We find that the EU's new fiscal rule, despite its intentions, works practically like active fiscal policy. Given this, it does not leave room for active monetary (interest rate) policy; instead, the central bank has to accommodate the active fiscal policy which means that the policy interest rate can react only weakly to inflation. This will undermine the ECB's key mandate.

Suggested Citation

  • Vasilki Dimakopoulou & George Economides & Apostolis Philippopoulos, 2025. "The EU’s New Expenditure Rule and Its Implications for Monetary Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 12139, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_12139
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/cesifo1_wp12139.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Benjamin Keen & Yongsheng Wang, 2007. "What is a realistic value for price adjustment costs in New Keynesian models?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(11), pages 789-793.
    2. Dimakopoulou, Vasiliki & Economides, George & Philippopoulos, Apostolis, 2025. "Repayment of EU bailout loans in a member-country of the ES: the case of Greece," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 128999, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Leeper, Eric M., 1991. "Equilibria under 'active' and 'passive' monetary and fiscal policies," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 129-147, February.
    4. Lei Fang & Richard Rogerson, 2011. "Product Market Regulation and Market Work: A Benchmark Analysis," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 3(2), pages 163-188, April.
    5. Schmitt-Grohe, Stephanie & Uribe, Martin, 2007. "Optimal simple and implementable monetary and fiscal rules," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(6), pages 1702-1725, September.
    6. Valerie A. Ramey, 2020. "The Macroeconomic Consequences of Infrastructure Investment," NBER Chapters, in: Economic Analysis and Infrastructure Investment, pages 219-268, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Dimakopoulou, Vasiliki & Economides, George & Philippopoulos, Apostolis & Vassilatos, Vanghelis, 2024. "Can central banks do the unpleasant job that governments should do?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    8. Baxter, Marianne & King, Robert G, 1993. "Fiscal Policy in General Equilibrium," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(3), pages 315-334, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Malley, James & Philippopoulos, Apostolis, 2023. "The macroeconomic effects of funding U.S. infrastructure," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    2. Dimakopoulou, Vasiliki & Economides, George & Philippopoulos, Apostolis & Vassilatos, Vanghelis, 2024. "Can central banks do the unpleasant job that governments should do?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    3. Vasiliki Dimakopoulou & George Economides & Apostolis Philippopoulos, 2024. "Repayment of EU Bailout Loans in a Member-Country of the ES: The Case of Greece," CESifo Working Paper Series 11519, CESifo.
    4. George Economides & Anastasios Xepapadeas, 2025. "Monetary policy stabilization in a new Keynesian model under climate change," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 56, April.
    5. Cavalcanti, Marco A.F.H. & Vereda, Luciano & Doctors, Rebeca de B. & Lima, Felipe C. & Maynard, Lucas, 2018. "The macroeconomic effects of monetary policy shocks under fiscal rules constrained by public debt sustainability," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 184-201.
    6. Leith, Campbell & Moldovan, Ioana & Rossi, Raffaele, 2015. "Monetary and fiscal policy under deep habits," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 55-74.
    7. Marco Riguzzi & Philipp Wegmueller, 2017. "Economic Openness and Fiscal Multipliers," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 1-35, January.
    8. Philippopoulos, Apostolis & Varthalitis, Petros & Vassilatos, Vanghelis, 2017. "Fiscal consolidation and its cross-country effects," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 55-106.
    9. Reicher, Claire, 2014. "Systematic fiscal policy and macroeconomic performance: A critical overview of the literature," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 8, pages 1-37.
    10. Krzysztof Makarski, 2017. "Mnożniki fiskalne w modelu z ograniczeniami kredytowymi," GRAPE Working Papers 13, GRAPE Group for Research in Applied Economics.
    11. Malik, Ali K., 2013. "The effects of fiscal spending shocks on the performance of simple monetary policy rules," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 643-662.
    12. Aliya Algozhina, 2012. "Monetary and Fiscal Policy Interactions in an Emerging Open Economy: a Non-Ricardian DSGE Approach," FIW Working Paper series 094, FIW, revised Dec 2012.
    13. Koliousi, Panagiota & Miaouli, Natasha & Philippopoulos, Apostolis, 2017. "Liberalization of product and labor markets: Efficiency and equity implications," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 92-106.
    14. Andres, Javier & Domenech, Rafael & Fatas, Antonio, 2008. "The stabilizing role of government size," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 571-593, February.
    15. Marattin, Luigi & Marzo, Massimiliano & Zagaglia, Paolo, 2013. "Distortionary tax instruments and implementable monetary policy," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 219-243.
    16. António AFONSO & Priscilla TOFFANO, 2013. "Fiscal regimes in the EU," Working Papers of Department of Economics, Leuven ces13.06, KU Leuven, Faculty of Economics and Business (FEB), Department of Economics, Leuven.
    17. Florin Bilbiie & Xavier Ragot, 2021. "Optimal Monetary Policy and Liquidity with Heterogeneous Households," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 41, pages 71-95, July.
    18. Honkapohja, Seppo & Mitra, Kaushik, 2020. "Price level targeting with evolving credibility," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 88-103.
    19. Mario Alloza & Danilo Leiva-León & Alberto Urtasun, 2022. "The response of private investment to an increase in public investment," Economic Bulletin, Banco de España, issue 2/2022.
    20. Hinterlang, Natascha & Moyen, Stephane & Röhe, Oke & Stähler, Nikolai, 2023. "Gauging the effects of the German COVID-19 fiscal stimulus package," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E63 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_12139. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klaus Wohlrabe (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cesifde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.