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Motorization Pathway in China: Case Study of Shanghai

Author

Listed:
  • Ni, Jason
  • Hubbard, Donald

Abstract

In articles about China in both technical journals and the popular press one often finds an implicit assumption that Chinese consumers are on a direct path that will lead to car ownership sometime in the near-to-mid-term future. The purpose of this paper was to determine if there is a “common” pathway toward car ownership and if so identifying the stages of this pathway. The study also tested the validity of an assumed hypothetical motorization direction – from non-motorized to motorized, from low cost to high cost, and from shared to private-owned. The answers to these questions could be used to predict future levels of auto usage based on the number of people currently in different auto precursor stages.

Suggested Citation

  • Ni, Jason & Hubbard, Donald, 2008. "Motorization Pathway in China: Case Study of Shanghai," Institute of Transportation Studies, Working Paper Series qt8ds1h308, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis.
  • Handle: RePEc:cdl:itsdav:qt8ds1h308
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