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Autonomous Trucking Combined with Appropriate Policy Could Increase Job Quality, Road Safety, and Commerce

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  • D'Agostino, Mollie C.

Abstract

California is considering whether to lift a decade-long ban on heavy-duty autonomous vehicles weighing more than 10,000 pounds. This decision comes at a time when the state’s goods-movement system faces mounting pressure to improve safety, address labor shortages, remain competitive, and meet climate and economic goals. To better understand these challenges, our team synthesized existing academic research and conducted interviews with 18 experts across industry, labor, and government. A key takeaway from this analysis is that humans will play enduring roles in both traditional and emerging occupations in trucking. Policy choices can influence whether autonomous trucking brings about higher-quality jobs, more efficient commerce, and safer systems as opposed to fragmented industry oversight and job loss without retraining or re-employment.

Suggested Citation

  • D'Agostino, Mollie C., 2026. "Autonomous Trucking Combined with Appropriate Policy Could Increase Job Quality, Road Safety, and Commerce," Institute of Transportation Studies, Working Paper Series qt6sq396xs, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis.
    • Handle: RePEc:cdl:itsdav:qt6sq396xs
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