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Forecasting exurban development to evaluate the influence of land-use policies on wildland and farmland conservation

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  • Merenlender, Adina M.
  • Brooks, Colin
  • Shabazian, David
  • Gao, Shengyi
  • Johnston, Robert A.

Abstract

Exurbia (rural low-density residential development) is one of the fastest growing types of land-use and can result in habitat fragmentation and loss of farmland. Local zoning restrictions and farmland protection are the most common ways of controlling low-density development in rural areas. While planners have recognized the utility of landuse change models for decision-making, most models do not effectively forecast exurban expansion. To rectify this problem, a spatially explicit model called UPlan that projects exurban development was adapted for Sonoma County California, where an estimated 27% of the people live at low densities (

Suggested Citation

  • Merenlender, Adina M. & Brooks, Colin & Shabazian, David & Gao, Shengyi & Johnston, Robert A., 2005. "Forecasting exurban development to evaluate the influence of land-use policies on wildland and farmland conservation," Institute of Transportation Studies, Working Paper Series qt0rk9w130, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis.
    • Handle: RePEc:cdl:itsdav:qt0rk9w130
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    Keywords

    Engineering; UCD-ITS-RR-05-33;

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