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Les effets du chômage sur la consommation : le cas de la France (1970-1994)

Author

Listed:
  • Jean-François BRUN

    () (Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches sur le Développement International(CERDI))

  • Jean-Louis COMBES

    () (Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches sur le Développement International(CERDI))

  • Pascale COMBES MOTEL

    () (Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches sur le Développement International(CERDI))

Abstract

L'article propose d'expliquer l'évolution pro-cyclique de l'épargne en période de récession repérée en France. Le cadre théorique est celui de l'épargne de précaution qui est constituée par des ménages prudents pour se prémunir des effets de la nature risquée des revenus du travail. En tenant compte des contraintes de liquidité, il n'est pas possible d'infirmer sur des données trimestrielles françaises pour la période 1970 à 1994, l'hypothèse selon laquelle les variations de consommation sont négativement affectées par celles du taux de chômage considérées comme un indicateur de l'évolution des risques.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-François BRUN & Jean-Louis COMBES & Pascale COMBES MOTEL, 1997. "Les effets du chômage sur la consommation : le cas de la France (1970-1994)," Working Papers 199716, CERDI.
  • Handle: RePEc:cdi:wpaper:60
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