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Nowcasting Euro Area Inflation

Author

Listed:
  • Marlow, Joe

    (Central Bank of Ireland)

  • Aydin Yakut, Dilan

    (Central Bank of Ireland)

Abstract

This insight introduces a toolkit that integrates national-level macroeconomic, survey, commodity, and financial data to provide timely estimates of headline HICP inflation in the euro area. The toolkit is updated on a weekly basis and provides detailed breakdowns of how new data flows drive nowcast revisions, enabling transparent and informed policymaking. The model successfully identifies evolving inflationary pressures through frequent updates, as demonstrated by the March 2026 case study of energy price-driven inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Marlow, Joe & Aydin Yakut, Dilan, 2026. "Nowcasting Euro Area Inflation," Central Bank Staff Insights 10/SI/26, Central Bank of Ireland.
    • Handle: RePEc:cbi:stafin:10/si/26
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    File URL: https://www.centralbank.ie/publication/research-publications/staff-insights/nowcasting-euro-area-inflation
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