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The Impact of Weather on the Construction Sector Output Variations, 1955-1989



This paper uses semiparametric time-series methods to model the non-linear effects of weather variations on the output growth rate of the construction sector. The study is undertaken at both the annual and quarterly frequencies; the results show that weather shocks have significant effects on both the annual and quarterly growth rate of construction output. Such sector-specific growth shocks are likely to have an independent effect on macroeconomic fluctuations.

Suggested Citation

  • Solomou, S. & Wu, W., 1997. "The Impact of Weather on the Construction Sector Output Variations, 1955-1989," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 9722, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
  • Handle: RePEc:cam:camdae:9722

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. King, Robert G. & Plosser, Charles I. & Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W., 1991. "Stochastic Trends and Economic Fluctuations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 81(4), pages 819-840, September.
    2. Sims, Christopher A, 1980. "Macroeconomics and Reality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(1), pages 1-48, January.
    3. Pesaran, M. Hashem & Shin, Yongcheol, 1996. "Cointegration and speed of convergence to equilibrium," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 71(1-2), pages 117-143.
    4. Johansen, Soren, 1995. "Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198774501.
    5. Lutkepohl, Helmut & Reimers, Hans-Eggert, 1992. "Impulse response analysis of cointegrated systems," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 53-78, January.
    6. Koop, Gary & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Potter, Simon M., 1996. "Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 119-147, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Melanie Arntz & Ralf Wilke, "undated". "Can public employment subsidies render the German construction sector weather proof?," Discussion Papers 09/06, University of Nottingham, School of Economics.
    2. Wilke, Ralf A. & Arntz, Melanie, 2008. "How Weather-Proof is the Construction Sector? Empirical Evidence from Germany," ZEW Discussion Papers 08-105, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.

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