IDEAS home Printed from
MyIDEAS: Login to save this paper or follow this series

Red Signals: Trade Deficits and the Current Account

  • marzia raybaudi
  • martin sola


  • fabio spagnolod

This paper proposes a method to asses the potential problems of sustainability of a country’s sovereign debt. We claim that the relevant variables used for this analysis are typically subject to changes which are associated with changes in macroeconomics policies. We propose a procedure for identifying periods under which the trade deficit and the current account accumulate at a nonstationary rate. Our approach is based on imposing identifying restrictions on Markov switching type models. An empirical application of the procedure to UK data is examined and discussed.We find that periods of non-stationary trade deficits typically coincide with current account crises.

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.

File URL:
Our checks indicate that this address may not be valid because: 404 Not Found. If this is indeed the case, please notify (John.Hunter)

Download Restriction: no

Paper provided by Economics and Finance Section, School of Social Sciences, Brunel University in its series Public Policy Discussion Papers with number 03-14.

in new window

Length: 8 pages
Date of creation: May 2003
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bru:bruppp:03-14
Contact details of provider: Postal: Brunel University, Uxbridge, Middlesex UB8 3PH, UK

No references listed on IDEAS
You can help add them by filling out this form.

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bru:bruppp:03-14. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (John.Hunter)

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

This information is provided to you by IDEAS at the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis using RePEc data.