Movimentos Especulativos de Capitais e Comportamento da Taxa de Câmbio no Brasil
This paper analyse the influences of speculative capital movements on exchange rate levels and its volatility in Brazil. Approaches based only in fundamentals are unable to explain some empirical regularity. The speculative behaviour needs to be considered. In particular, empirical works indicates that its fundamental value is a long run trend frequently shifted, suggesting that such rate is, at most, a sequence of temporary equilibria. Our extended model dealing with international arbitrage point out some difficulties of the Central Bank to manage the exchange rate in an environment of financial globalisation. To constrain capital flows may reduce volatility and to restore official possibility to control exchange rate.
|Date of creation:||Nov 2004|
|Date of revision:|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: Universidade de Brasília UnB - Campus Universitário Darcy Ribeiro Asa Norte CEP 70910-900, Brasília, Brasil|
Fax: (61) 340-2311
Web page: http://e-groups.unb.br/face/eco/
More information through EDIRC
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:brs:wpaper:321. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Luciano Póvoa)
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.
If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.