IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/boc/bocoec/1110.html

Bounded Rationality as Limited Optimization: Stochastic Gradient Descent Agents in Macroeconomic Models

Author

Listed:
  • Pablo Guerron-Quintana

    (Boston College
    Boston College)

Abstract

This paper proposes a novel equilibrium concept in which agents are fully rational in preferences and constraints but computationally bounded, with decision rules parameterized and improved via stochastic gradient methods applied to simulated expected utility. In a standard RBC model with GHH preferences, we define a Stochastic Gradient Descent equilibrium as a fixed point (in expectation) of the stochastic-gradient update rule together with market clearing and firm optimality. The fixed-point condition requires that the expected gradient of the household’s truncated utility function vanishes at the equilibrium decision rules, so that the agent has no incentive, on average, to revise her policy further. We establish conditions under which the SGD equilibrium converges to the rational expectations solution in the sequential limit as the planning horizon and training intensity increase without bound. Away from this limit, tighter computational budgets generate systematic, state-dependent deviations summarized by an intratemporal labor wedge and an intertemporal capital wedge, whereas large horizon planning and extensive training deliver policies close to the rational expectations benchmark. These wedges are endogenous and time-varying, providing a structural bridge to the business-cycle accounting framework of Chari et al. (2007) without introducing non-productivity shocks or real frictions.

Suggested Citation

  • Pablo Guerron-Quintana, 2026. "Bounded Rationality as Limited Optimization: Stochastic Gradient Descent Agents in Macroeconomic Models," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 1110, Boston College Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:boc:bocoec:1110
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://fmwww.bc.edu/EC-P/wp1110.pdf
    File Function: main text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Marcet, Albert & Sargent, Thomas J., 1989. "Convergence of least squares learning mechanisms in self-referential linear stochastic models," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 337-368, August.
    2. Yang, Yucheng & Wang, Chiyuan & Schaab, Andreas & Moll, Benjamin, 2025. "Structural Reinforcement Learning for Heterogeneous Agent Macroeconomics," CEPR Discussion Papers 20980, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    3. Bartosz Maćkowiak & Filip Matějka & Mirko Wiederholt, 2023. "Rational Inattention: A Review," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(1), pages 226-273, March.
    4. George W. Evans, 2001. "Expectations in Macroeconomics. Adaptive versus Eductive Learning," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 52(3), pages 573-582.
    5. Yucheng Yang & Chiyuan Wang & Andreas Schaab & Benjamin Moll, 2025. "Structural Reinforcement Learning for Heterogeneous Agent Macroeconomics," Papers 2512.18892, arXiv.org.
    6. Woodford, Michael, 2009. "Information-constrained state-dependent pricing," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(S), pages 100-124.
    7. Sims, Christopher A., 2003. "Implications of rational inattention," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 665-690, April.
    8. V. V. Chari & Patrick J. Kehoe & Ellen R. McGrattan, 2007. "Business Cycle Accounting," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 75(3), pages 781-836, May.
    9. Yucheng Yang & Chiyuan Wang & Andreas Schaab & Benjamin Moll, 2025. "Structural Reinforcement Learning for Heterogeneous Agent Macroeconomics," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 25-109, Swiss Finance Institute.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alexander Mayer & Davide Raggi, 2025. "Estimation and inference in models with multiple behavioural equilibria," Papers 2512.04541, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2026.
    2. Wenting Song & Samuel Stern, 2022. "Firm Inattention and the Efficacy of Monetary Policy: A Text-Based Approach," Staff Working Papers 22-3, Bank of Canada.
    3. Giovanni Dosi & Mauro Napoletano & Andrea Roventini & Joseph E. Stiglitz & Tania Treibich, 2020. "Rational Heuristics? Expectations And Behaviors In Evolving Economies With Heterogeneous Interacting Agents," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 58(3), pages 1487-1516, July.
    4. Gáti, Laura, 2023. "Monetary policy & anchored expectations—An endogenous gain learning model," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(S), pages 37-47.
    5. Jianjun Miao & Dongling Su, 2023. "Asset market equilibrium under rational inattention," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 75(1), pages 1-30, January.
    6. Melcangi, Davide & Turen, Javier, 2023. "Subsidizing startups under imperfect information," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 93-109.
    7. Poledna, Sebastian & Miess, Michael Gregor & Hommes, Cars & Rabitsch, Katrin, 2023. "Economic forecasting with an agent-based model," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    8. Kim, Duk Gyoo & Yoon, Yeochang, 2019. "A theory of FAQs: Public announcements with rational ignorance," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 560-574.
    9. Inkoo Cho & Noah Williams, 2024. "Collusive Outcomes Without Collusion," Papers 2403.07177, arXiv.org.
    10. Grimaud, Alex & Salle, Isabelle & Vermandel, Gauthier, 2025. "A Dynare toolbox for social learning expectations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    11. Giovanni Di Bartolomeo & Francesco Ferlaino & Carolina Serpieri, 2026. "Inflation Inattention and the Consumption Gap," Working Papers in Public Economics 280, Department of Economics and Law, Sapienza University of Rome.
    12. Warne, Anders, 2023. "DSGE model forecasting: rational expectations vs. adaptive learning," Working Paper Series 2768, European Central Bank.
    13. Mathieu Pedemonte & Hiroshi Toma & Esteban Verdugo, 2023. "Aggregate Implications of Heterogeneous Inflation Expectations: The Role of Individual Experience," Working Papers 23-04, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    14. Luigi Paciello & Mirko Wiederholt, 2014. "Exogenous Information, Endogenous Information, and Optimal Monetary Policy," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 81(1), pages 356-388.
    15. Evans, George & McGough, Bruce, 2025. "Social learning and expectational stability," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    16. Brocas, Isabelle & Carrillo, Juan D., 2021. "Value computation and modulation: A neuroeconomic theory of self-control as constrained optimization," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    17. Masataka Eguchi & Takayuki Tsuruga & Mai Yamada, 2026. "Inattention to market shrinkage: The case of the photo film market," ISER Discussion Paper 1307, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka.
    18. Yucheng Yang & Chiyuan Wang & Andreas Schaab & Benjamin Moll, 2025. "Structural Reinforcement Learning for Heterogeneous Agent Macroeconomics," Papers 2512.18892, arXiv.org.
    19. Volha Audzei & Sergey Slobodyan, 2025. "Dynamic Sparse Adaptive Learning," Working Papers 2025/9, Czech National Bank, Research and Statistics Department.
    20. Tommaso Denti & Doron Ravid, 2023. "Robust Predictions in Games with Rational Inattention," Papers 2306.09964, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • E7 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macro-Based Behavioral Economics

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:boc:bocoec:1110. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Christopher F Baum (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/debocus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.