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Bounded Rationality as Limited Optimization: Stochastic Gradient Descent Agents in Macroeconomic Models

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  • Pablo Guerron-Quintana

    (Boston College
    Boston College)

Abstract

This paper proposes a novel equilibrium concept in which agents are fully rational in preferences and constraints but computationally bounded, with decision rules parameterized and improved via stochastic gradient methods applied to simulated expected utility. In a standard RBC model with GHH preferences, we define a Stochastic Gradient Descent equilibrium as a fixed point (in expectation) of the stochastic-gradient update rule together with market clearing and firm optimality. The fixed-point condition requires that the expected gradient of the household’s truncated utility function vanishes at the equilibrium decision rules, so that the agent has no incentive, on average, to revise her policy further. We establish conditions under which the SGD equilibrium converges to the rational expectations solution in the sequential limit as the planning horizon and training intensity increase without bound. Away from this limit, tighter computational budgets generate systematic, state-dependent deviations summarized by an intratemporal labor wedge and an intertemporal capital wedge, whereas large horizon planning and extensive training deliver policies close to the rational expectations benchmark. These wedges are endogenous and time-varying, providing a structural bridge to the business-cycle accounting framework of Chari et al. (2007) without introducing non-productivity shocks or real frictions.

Suggested Citation

  • Pablo Guerron-Quintana, 2026. "Bounded Rationality as Limited Optimization: Stochastic Gradient Descent Agents in Macroeconomic Models," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 1110, Boston College Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:boc:bocoec:1110
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Michael Woodford, 2019. "Monetary Policy Analysis When Planning Horizons Are Finite," NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 33(1), pages 1-50.
    2. Yucheng Yang & Chiyuan Wang & Andreas Schaab & Benjamin Moll, 2025. "Structural Reinforcement Learning for Heterogeneous Agent Macroeconomics," Papers 2512.18892, arXiv.org.
    3. George William Evans, 2001. "Expectations in Macroeconomics Adaptive versus Eductive Learning," Revue économique, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 52(3), pages 573-582.
    4. Bartosz Maćkowiak & Filip Matějka & Mirko Wiederholt, 2023. "Rational Inattention: A Review," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(1), pages 226-273, March.
    5. Woodford, Michael, 2009. "Information-constrained state-dependent pricing," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(S), pages 100-124.
    6. Sims, Christopher A., 2003. "Implications of rational inattention," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(3), pages 665-690, April.
    7. V. V. Chari & Patrick J. Kehoe & Ellen R. McGrattan, 2007. "Business Cycle Accounting," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 75(3), pages 781-836, May.
    8. Marcet, Albert & Sargent, Thomas J., 1989. "Convergence of least squares learning mechanisms in self-referential linear stochastic models," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 337-368, August.
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    JEL classification:

    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • E7 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macro-Based Behavioral Economics

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