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Measuring the anchoring of inflation expectations
[Mesurer l’ancrage des anticipations d’inflation]

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  • Sarah Mouabbi

Abstract

Given their inflation objectives, the ECB and the Federal Reserve System closely monitor measures of inflation expectations. But what are the available sources of inflation expectations and how is their anchoring measured? This post addresses these questions and focuses on a novel approach to gauging the anchoring of inflation expectations, namely by computing the probability of future inflation being in a range that is consistent with inflation targets. Les objectifs d’inflation de la BCE et du Système fédéral de réserve impliquent un suivi étroit des mesures des anticipations d’inflation. À l’aide de quelles sources et de quelle manière l’ancrage de ces anticipations est-il mesuré ? Pour répondre à ces questions, ce billet rend compte d’une nouvelle approche : le calcul de la probabilité que l’inflation future se situe dans une fourchette compatible avec les objectifs d’inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Sarah Mouabbi, 2018. "Measuring the anchoring of inflation expectations [Mesurer l’ancrage des anticipations d’inflation]," Eco Notepad (in progress) 80, Banque de France.
    • Handle: RePEc:bfr:econot:80
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