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Business leaders' inflation expectations during the 2021-25 inflation cycle
[Les anticipations des chefs d’entreprise face au cycle d’inflation 2021-2025]

Author

Listed:
  • Olivier Coibion
  • Erwan Gautier
  • Maxime Ponsart
  • Frédérique Savignac

Abstract

Every quarter, the Banque de France collects inflation expectations from 1,700 business leaders. They correctly anticipated the magnitude of the 2022–23 inflationary wave. Their expectations reacted in a more temporary and moderate way. With their expectations returning to 2% since 2024 and a strong consensus surrounding this scenario, companies remain confident that prices will remain stable over the long term. Chaque trimestre, la Banque de France collecte les anticipations d’inflation auprès de 1 700 chefs d’entreprise. Ceux-ci ont correctement perçu l’ampleur de la vague inflationniste de 2022-2023. La réaction de leurs anticipations a été plus transitoire et modérée. Le retour à 2 % de leurs anticipations depuis 2024 et le fort consensus autour de ce scénario confirment la confiance des entreprises dans une stabilité durable des prix.

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Handle: RePEc:bfr:econot:407
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File URL: https://www.banque-france.fr/en/publications-and-statistics/publications/business-leaders-inflation-expectations-during-2021-25-inflation-cycle
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File URL: https://www.banque-france.fr/fr/publications-et-statistiques/publications/les-anticipations-des-chefs-dentreprise-face-au-cycle-dinflation-2021-2025
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