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What are business leaders' inflation expectations?
[Qu'anticipent les chefs d’entreprise sur l’inflation ?]

Author

Listed:
  • Paul Bouche
  • Julien Demuynck
  • Erwan Gautier
  • Frédérique Savignac

Abstract

For the first time, the Banque de France is publishing the results of a survey on business leaders’ inflation expectations, collected since the end of 2021. One-year inflation expectations have increased since the beginning of the year and their median stands at 5% in the second quarter of 2022. Longer-term expectations (3-5 years) are also rising, but more slowly, with a median of 3%. This survey was conducted prior to the ECB's monetary policy normalisation announced on 9 June, which is expected to contribute to the gradual "re-anchoring" of inflation expectations. La Banque de France publie pour la première fois les résultats d’une enquête sur les anticipations d’inflation des chefs d’entreprise, collectées depuis fin 2021. Les anticipations d’inflation à un an ont augmenté depuis le début de l’année et leur médiane atteint 5% au 2ème trimestre 2022. Les anticipations à plus long terme (3-5 ans) progressent aussi mais plus lentement, avec une médiane à 3%. Cette enquête a été réalisée avant la normalisation de la politique monétaire de la BCE annoncée le 9 juin et qui devrait contribuer à "réancrer" progressivement les anticipations d’inflation.

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Handle: RePEc:bfr:econot:275
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File URL: https://www.banque-france.fr/en/publications-and-statistics/publications/what-are-business-leaders-inflation-expectationshttps://www.banque-france.fr/en/publications-and-statistics/publications/what-are-business-leaders-inflation-expectations
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File URL: https://www.banque-france.fr/fr/publications-et-statistiques/publications/quanticipent-les-chefs-dentreprise-sur-linflation
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