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What if large firms were to go bust?
[Défaut d’une entreprise systémique : quels effets pour l’économie ?]

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  • Sarah Mouabbi

Abstract

What would the economic cost of a systemic firm going bust be? This post addresses this question by assessing the recessionary effect of a systemic default. Within two years, such an event is expected to be followed by a 3% decrease in aggregate consumption and by three more systemic defaults. Quel serait le coût économique de la faillite d’une entreprise d’importance systémique ? C’est la question à laquelle nous tentons de répondre ici, en évaluant l’effet récessif d’une défaillance systémique. Dans les deux ans suivant un tel événement, on peut s’attendre à une diminution de 3 % de la consommation totale et à la survenance de trois nouveaux défauts systémiques.

Suggested Citation

  • Sarah Mouabbi, 2020. "What if large firms were to go bust? [Défaut d’une entreprise systémique : quels effets pour l’économie ?]," Eco Notepad (in progress) 155, Banque de France.
    • Handle: RePEc:bfr:econot:155
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