IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bfr/econot/136.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Are financial variables a useful complement for GDP nowcasting?
[Les variables financières, un complément utile pour la prévision de PIB ?]

Author

Listed:
  • Barbara Castelleti Font
  • Pavel Diev
  • William Honvo

Abstract

Severe financial market stress can result in significant errors in the forecasting of quarterly GDP growth. This post focuses on the impact of financial variables on the short-term forecasting of GDP in France. A financial conditions indicator can provide useful qualitative information to the forecaster on the risks associated with the baseline projection. De fortes tensions sur les marchés financiers peuvent conduire à des erreurs de prévision importantes de la croissance trimestrielle du PIB. Ce billet s’intéresse à l’impact des variables financières sur la prévision à court terme de PIB en France. Un indicateur de conditions financières peut donner une information qualitative utile au prévisionniste sur les risques liés à la prévision centrale.

Suggested Citation

  • Barbara Castelleti Font & Pavel Diev & William Honvo, 2019. "Are financial variables a useful complement for GDP nowcasting? [Les variables financières, un complément utile pour la prévision de PIB ?]," Eco Notepad (in progress) 136, Banque de France.
    • Handle: RePEc:bfr:econot:136
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.banque-france.fr/en/publications-and-statistics/publications/are-financial-variables-useful-complement-gdp-nowcasting
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.banque-france.fr/fr/publications-et-statistiques/publications/les-variables-financieres-un-complement-utile-pour-la-prevision-de-pib
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bfr:econot:136. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Michael brassart (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/bdfgvfr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.