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Effects of Trade Wars on Belarus

Author

Listed:
  • Aleksandr Vashchilko

Abstract

This paper looks at the effects of the trade wars that followed 2014 events in Ukraine on Belarus. The estimation of the model predicts the increase in the tariff revenue collected by Belarus. Because of ban on imports, the tari§ revenue of Russian Federation declines. Being a part of Customs Union, Belarus needs to participate in the tariff revenue redistribution. The need to participate in the tariff revenue redistribution and the decline in the tariff revenue collected by Russian Federation lead to the decrease in the welfare of Belarus. To avoid this decrease, Belarus should argue for the modification of the redistribution schedule.

Suggested Citation

  • Aleksandr Vashchilko, 2016. "Effects of Trade Wars on Belarus," BEROC Policy Paper Series 37, Belarusian Economic Research and Outreach Center (BEROC).
    • Handle: RePEc:bel:ppaper:37
    Note: in Russian
    as

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    File URL: http://www.beroc.by/webroot/delivery/files/posledstvija_torgovyh_vojn_dl_a_Belarusi_AV.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2016
    Download Restriction: no
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    trade wars; FTA; CU;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

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