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Heterogeneous Effects and the Interpretation of OLS Coefficient Movements

Author

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  • Felix Weinhardt

Abstract

Applied researchers commonly interpret coefficient movements across OLS and difference-in-differences specifications with varying controls as evidence of bias reduction or improved identification. This note shows that such interpretations generally fail under heterogeneous treatment effects. In this case, each specification estimates a differently weighted average treatment effect, where the weights depend on the set of included controls. Consequently, adding or removing controls can change the estimand even when the controls are irrelevant for the outcome conditional on treatment. The note further derives an augmented version of the canonical omitted variables bias formula that remains valid under heterogeneity by explicitly accounting for induced changes in weighting.

Suggested Citation

  • Felix Weinhardt, 2026. "Heterogeneous Effects and the Interpretation of OLS Coefficient Movements," Berlin School of Economics Discussion Papers 0095, Berlin School of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:bdp:dpaper:0095
    DOI: 10.48462/opus4-6213
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation

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