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Rebalancing India-Russia Trade: Can Putin Soften Trump's Tariff Blow?

Author

Listed:
  • Ashok Gulati

    (Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations (ICRIER))

  • Harsh Wardhan

  • Sulakshana Rao

  • Raya Das

Abstract

This policy brief assesses the scope of increasing Indian exports to Russia, focusing on select sectors, hard-hit by Trump's tariffs. In T&A, India faces a significant disadvantage due to 13-14 per cent tariffs, compared to zero-duty for Vietnam. In fisheries, although India’s seafood exports total USD 7.4 billion (2024-25), exports to Russia remain limited at USD 138 million, confined to frozen shrimp. Given Russia's USD 2.12 billion import, significant untapped potential exists in mackerel, trout and other value-added products. In case of agriculture, high-value segments, including processed fruits and vegetables and animal products such as bovine meat create clear openings. Yet high tariffs, SPS barriers, certification delays and logistics costs persist.

Suggested Citation

  • Ashok Gulati & Harsh Wardhan & Sulakshana Rao & Raya Das, 2025. "Rebalancing India-Russia Trade: Can Putin Soften Trump's Tariff Blow?," Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations (ICRIER) Policy Paper 57, Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations (ICRIER), New Delhi, India.
  • Handle: RePEc:bdc:ppaper:57
    as

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    File URL: https://icrier.org/pdf/pb_Rebalancing-India-Russia-Trade.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ashok Gulati & Sulakshana Rao & Tanay Suntwal, 2025. "Navigating Trump's Tariff Blow," Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations (ICRIER) Policy Paper 44, Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations (ICRIER), New Delhi, India.
    2. Ritika Juneja & Sulakshana Rao & Ashok Gulati, 2025. "Strategies to Boost India's Agri-Exports: Banana; Mango & Mango Pulp; and Potato & its Value Added Products," Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations (ICRIER) Report 25-r-18, Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations (ICRIER), New Delhi, India.
    3. Ashok Gulati & Raya Das & Sanchit Gupta, 2025. "India's Shrimp Exports: Coping with US Tariffs," Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations (ICRIER) Policy Paper 50, Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations (ICRIER), New Delhi, India.
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