IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bbv/wpaper/0904.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Potencial futuro de la oferta mundial de petroleo: un analisis de las principales fuentes de incertidumbre

Author

Listed:
  • Tatiana Alonso

Abstract

Este trabajo pretende contribuir, desde una perspectiva informada, al debate existente en torno a la cuestion del pico petrolero y la sostenibilidad futura del modelo energetico imperante. En concreto, el objetivo principal es favorecer la toma de conciencia general acerca del elevado grado de incertidumbre que existe en torno al potencial fisico futuro de la oferta mundial de petroleo. Las principales fuentes de incertidumbre identificadas en este analisis se hallan, por un lado, en la falta de informacion contrastada acerca del volumen de reservas existentes y, por otro, en la falta de un conocimiento preciso acerca de la tasa de declive mostrada por la oferta mundial de petroleo. La fiabilidad de las estimaciones disponibles acerca de estas dos variables se ve claramente mermada por la baja disponibilidad y calidad de los datos de partida utilizados.

Suggested Citation

  • Tatiana Alonso, 2009. "Potencial futuro de la oferta mundial de petroleo: un analisis de las principales fuentes de incertidumbre," Working Papers 0904, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
  • Handle: RePEc:bbv:wpaper:0904
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.bbvaresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/migrados/WP_0904_tcm346-212930.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bbv:wpaper:0904. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (OSCAR DE LAS PENAS SANCHEZ-CARO). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/ebbvaes.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.