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Fluctuaciones ciclicas y raices unitarias en la economia espanola, 1850-1990

Author

Listed:
  • Jordi Pons Novell
  • Andreu Sanso

    (Universitat de Barcelona)

Abstract

This paper analyses the role of shocks in Spanish economic growth over the period 1850-1990. In the existence of a unit root, the trend is stochastic, which implies that the series has a long memory, and shocks have persistent effects. As a result, the series does not return to its former path following a random disturbance, and the level of the series shifts permanently. On the other hand, if the series does not contain a unit root, the trend is deterministic and the series has a short memory. In this case a shock has no permanent impact and the series returns to its steady trend after the shock. Estimation results provide evidence that the log of real GDP has a unit root, but the existence of a unit root on real per capita GDP is uncertain.

Suggested Citation

  • Jordi Pons Novell & Andreu Sanso, 1996. "Fluctuaciones ciclicas y raices unitarias en la economia espanola, 1850-1990," Working Papers in Economics 2, Universitat de Barcelona. Espai de Recerca en Economia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bar:bedcje:19962
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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