IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/auk/ecosoc/2020_25.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

«¿Había espacio fiscal para enfrentar la pandemia en México? Una revisita a la sostenibilidad fisca»

Author

Listed:
  • Fausto Hernández Trillo

    (Centro de Estudios Espinosa Yglesias)

Abstract

En este artículo se evalúa el espacio fiscal para enfrentar los efectos económicos adversos que provocaría la pandemia en México utilizando un ejercicio de sostenibilidad fiscal desarrollado por Talvi y Vegh (2000). Los resultados arrojan que en la actualidad no hay sostenibilidad fiscal, y que para obtenerla es necesario duplicar el superávit primario promedio de 0.71% del PIB que México ha tenido desde 2001. Sin embargo, en caso de haber introducido el plan económico propuesto por distintos organismos y analistas que ascendía a un nuevo endeudamiento de 3% del PIB, se hubiera tenido, a partir del 2021, que haber incrementado el superávit promedio en 0.74%, es decir, un monto de superávit primario de 0.03% anual adicional al faltante actualmente, cantidad aseaukble sobre todo para paliar los efectos de la crisis del COVID sobre la actividad económica.

Suggested Citation

  • Fausto Hernández Trillo, 2020. "«¿Había espacio fiscal para enfrentar la pandemia en México? Una revisita a la sostenibilidad fisca»," Papers 2020_25, Centro de Estudios Espinosa Yglesias.
    • Handle: RePEc:auk:ecosoc:2020_25
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ceey.org.mx/vhabia-espacio-fiscal-para-enfrentar-la-pandemia-en-mexico/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:auk:ecosoc:2020_25. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: CEEY Editorial (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ceeymmx.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.