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Ranking Experiments under Sequential Sampling

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  • Zihao Li
  • Tianhao Liu

Abstract

We compare statistical experiments when observations are inexpensive and can be acquired sequentially until the decision maker chooses to stop. We introduce two orders. Small-cost decision dominance asks which of two equally priced experiments is eventually preferred in every decision problem as the per-observation cost vanishes; large-budget stopping dominance asks which experiment can reproduce every terminal experiment attainable from the other under all sufficiently large expected-sample budgets. Our main result shows that, for generic pairs, the two orders coincide and are both characterized by strict dominance of every pairwise Kullback--Leibler divergence. The key step is a uniform exact-conversion theorem: any finite-output stopping policy based on one experiment can be reproduced exactly using another, with first-order expected-sample requirements determined by pairwise KL rates and a square-root remainder that is uniform over policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Zihao Li & Tianhao Liu, 2026. "Ranking Experiments under Sequential Sampling," Papers 2608.19897, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2026.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2608.19897
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    File URL: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2608.19897
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