IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2607.05697.html

Stability and Dual Valuation of Contingent Claims under Rockafellian Perturbations

Author

Listed:
  • Wolfgang Breytmann
  • Julio Deride
  • Nicol'as Hern'andez

Abstract

We study the stability of solutions to the discrete-time contingent-claim problem over a finite investment horizon when uncertainty is modeled by random variables with finite discrete support. Our main contribution is to use Rockafellian perturbations as a framework for this stability analysis: we construct perturbations of the underlying probability distribution, of the contingent claim, and of both jointly, and we establish epi-convergence of the corresponding approximating Rockafellians for the primal problem. The associated hypo-convergent approximations yield stable dual problems which, in turn, imply convergence of the dual variables, interpreted as shadow prices. This analysis reveals a connection between the duality gap and the value of perfect information and it provides conditions under which strong duality holds. We also construct examples in which epi-convergence fails due to critical scenarios with vanishing probabilities but unbounded impacts, illustrating the boundary between well-behaved and ill-conditioned contingent-claim problems.

Suggested Citation

  • Wolfgang Breytmann & Julio Deride & Nicol'as Hern'andez, 2026. "Stability and Dual Valuation of Contingent Claims under Rockafellian Perturbations," Papers 2607.05697, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2607.05697
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2607.05697
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. PInar, Mustafa Ç. & Salih, AslIhan & CamcI, Ahmet, 2010. "Expected gain-loss pricing and hedging of contingent claims in incomplete markets by linear programming," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 201(3), pages 770-785, March.
    2. Teemu Pennanen, 2011. "Convex Duality in Stochastic Optimization and Mathematical Finance," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 36(2), pages 340-362, May.
    3. Föllmer, Hans & Kramkov, D. O., 1997. "Optional decompositions under constraints," SFB 373 Discussion Papers 1997,31, Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes.
    4. Alessandro Beber & Daniela Fabbri & Marco Pagano & Saverio Simonelli, 2021. "Short-Selling Bans and Bank Stability," The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 10(1), pages 158-187.
    5. Yuhong Xu, 2014. "Robust valuation and risk measurement under model uncertainty," Papers 1407.8024, arXiv.org.
    6. Bruno Bouchard & Marcel Nutz, 2013. "Arbitrage and duality in nondominated discrete-time models," Papers 1305.6008, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2015.
    7. Paul Glasserman & Xingbo Xu, 2014. "Robust risk measurement and model risk," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(1), pages 29-58, January.
    8. Teemu Pennanen & Ari-Pekka Perkkiö, 2018. "Convex duality in optimal investment and contingent claim valuation in illiquid markets," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 733-771, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Makam, Vaishno Devi & Millossovich, Pietro & Tsanakas, Andreas, 2021. "Sensitivity analysis with χ2-divergences," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 372-383.
    2. Thibaut Lux & Antonis Papapantoleon, 2016. "Model-free bounds on Value-at-Risk using extreme value information and statistical distances," Papers 1610.09734, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2018.
    3. Jose Blanchet & Henry Lam & Yang Liu & Ruodu Wang, 2025. "Convolution Bounds on Quantile Aggregation," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 73(5), pages 2761-2781, September.
    4. Aleksandra Pasieczna-Dixit, 2025. "How reliable are systemic risk measures? Model risk estimates of MES and ΔCoVaR," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 56(4), pages 463-496.
    5. Mingbin Ben Feng & Eunhye Song, 2020. "Efficient Nested Simulation Experiment Design via the Likelihood Ratio Method," Papers 2008.13087, arXiv.org, revised May 2024.
    6. Guanyu Jin & Roger J. A. Laeven & Dick den Hertog & Aharon Ben-Tal, 2024. "Constructing Uncertainty Sets for Robust Risk Measures: A Composition of $\phi$-Divergences Approach to Combat Tail Uncertainty," Papers 2412.05234, arXiv.org.
    7. Anthony Coache & Sebastian Jaimungal, 2024. "Robust Reinforcement Learning with Dynamic Distortion Risk Measures," Papers 2409.10096, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2025.
    8. Dohyun Ahn & Huiyi Chen & Lewen Zheng, 2026. "Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Rare-Event Simulation," Papers 2601.01642, arXiv.org.
    9. Spiridon Penev & Pavel Shevchenko & Wei Wu, 2019. "Myopic robust index tracking with Bregman divergence," Papers 1908.07659, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
    10. Hongseok Namkoong & Yuanzhe Ma & Peter W. Glynn, 2026. "Minimax Optimal Estimation of Stability Under Distribution Shift," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 74(1), pages 464-483, January.
    11. Paul Glasserman & Wanmo Kang, 2014. "OR Forum—Design of Risk Weights," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 62(6), pages 1204-1220, December.
    12. Nutz, Marcel, 2015. "Robust superhedging with jumps and diffusion," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 125(12), pages 4543-4555.
    13. Steven Kou & Xianhua Peng, 2016. "On the Measurement of Economic Tail Risk," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 64(5), pages 1056-1072, October.
    14. Volk-Makarewicz, Warren & Borovkova, Svetlana & Heidergott, Bernd, 2022. "Assessing the impact of jumps in an option pricing model: A gradient estimation approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 298(2), pages 740-751.
    15. Detering, Nils & Packham, Natalie, 2018. "Model risk of contingent claims," IRTG 1792 Discussion Papers 2018-036, Humboldt University of Berlin, International Research Training Group 1792 "High Dimensional Nonstationary Time Series".
    16. Pesenti, Silvana M. & Millossovich, Pietro & Tsanakas, Andreas, 2019. "Reverse sensitivity testing: What does it take to break the model?," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 274(2), pages 654-670.
    17. Tunaru, Radu & Zheng, Teng, 2017. "Parameter estimation risk in asset pricing and risk management: A Bayesian approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 80-93.
    18. Ben Mingbin Feng & Eunhye Song, 2025. "Efficient Nested Simulation Experiment Design via the Likelihood Ratio Method," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 37(3), pages 723-742, May.
    19. Kim, Sojung & Weber, Stefan, 2022. "Simulation methods for robust risk assessment and the distorted mix approach," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 298(1), pages 380-398.
    20. Gaoyue Guo & Xiaolu Tan & Nizar Touzi, 2015. "Tightness and duality of martingale transport on the Skorokhod space," Papers 1507.01125, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2016.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2607.05697. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.