IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2605.00196.html

Modeling Stock Returns and Volatility Using Bivariate Gamma Generalized Laplace Law

Author

Listed:
  • Tomasz J. Kozubowski
  • Andrey Sarantsev
  • James A. Spiker

Abstract

We consider a generalization of the variance-gamma (generalized asymmetric Laplace) distribution, defined as a normal mean - variance mixture with a gamma mixing distribution. While this model is typically studied in the univariate setting, we assume that the gamma mixing variable is observed alongside the primary variable, resulting in a bivariate framework. In this setting, maximum likelihood estimation becomes significantly simpler than in the standard univariate case, reducing to a form of classical linear regression. We derive explicit expressions for the resulting estimators. For certain parameter configurations, the estimators exhibit nonstandard convergence rates, exceeding the usual square-root rate. Finally, we illustrate the applicability of this model in financial contexts by analyzing stock index returns and associated volatility for several major indices.

Suggested Citation

  • Tomasz J. Kozubowski & Andrey Sarantsev & James A. Spiker, 2026. "Modeling Stock Returns and Volatility Using Bivariate Gamma Generalized Laplace Law," Papers 2605.00196, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2605.00196
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2605.00196
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2605.00196. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.