IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2604.07159.html

SBBTS: A Unified Schr\"odinger-Bass Framework for Synthetic Financial Time Series

Author

Listed:
  • Alexandre Alouadi
  • Gr'egoire Loeper
  • C'elian Marsala
  • Othmane Mazhar
  • Huy^en Pham

Abstract

We study the problem of generating synthetic time series that reproduce both marginal distributions and temporal dynamics, a central challenge in financial machine learning. Existing approaches typically fail to jointly model drift and stochastic volatility, as diffusion-based methods fix the volatility while martingale transport models ignore drift. We introduce the Schr\"odinger-Bass Bridge for Time Series (SBBTS), a unified framework that extends the Schr\"odinger-Bass formulation to multi-step time series. The method constructs a diffusion process that jointly calibrates drift and volatility and admits a tractable decomposition into conditional transport problems, enabling efficient learning. Numerical experiments on the Heston model demonstrate that SBBTS accurately recovers stochastic volatility and correlation parameters that prior Schr\"odingerBridge methods fail to capture. Applied to S&P 500 data, SBBTS-generated synthetic time series consistently improve downstream forecasting performance when used for data augmentation, yielding higher classification accuracy and Sharpe ratio compared to real-data-only training. These results show that SBBTS provides a practical and effective framework for realistic time series generation and data augmentation in financial applications.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexandre Alouadi & Gr'egoire Loeper & C'elian Marsala & Othmane Mazhar & Huy^en Pham, 2026. "SBBTS: A Unified Schr\"odinger-Bass Framework for Synthetic Financial Time Series," Papers 2604.07159, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2604.07159
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2604.07159
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Beatrice Acciaio & Antonio Marini & Gudmund Pammer, 2023. "Calibration of the Bass Local Volatility model," Papers 2311.14567, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2025.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Beiglböck, Mathias & Pammer, Gudmund & Riess, Lorenz, 2026. "Change of numeraire for weak martingale transport," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    2. Hao Qin & Charlie Che & Ruozhong Yang & Liming Feng, 2024. "Robust and Fast Bass local volatility," Papers 2411.04321, arXiv.org, revised May 2025.
    3. Beatrice Acciaio & Mathias Beiglbock & Evgeny Kolosov & Gudmund Pammer, 2025. "Strassen's theorem for biased convex order," Papers 2509.13041, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2604.07159. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.