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When Is the Gini Loading More Prudent? Tail Structure and the Ordering of the Standard Deviation and the Gini Mean Difference

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  • Nawaf Mohammed

Abstract

The standard deviation (SD) and the Gini mean difference (GMD) are the two canonical measures of variability used to load premiums, set risk margins and allocate capital, yet no universal ordering between them exists. We show that the comparison is \emph{equivalent} to asking whether the coefficient of variation of the spacing $|X-X'|$ generated by two independent copies of the risk exceeds unity, so that the exponential law -- whose spacing is again exponential -- is the universal knife-edge separating the two regimes. Reading the GMD as twice the maxiance, that is, as a second-order \emph{dual} moment in the sense of Yaari's dual theory, the problem becomes an explicit comparison of primal and dual second-order variability. We derive a closed-form representation of the mean excess function of the spacing in terms of the hazard and reverse hazard rates of $X$, and use it to prove that heavy-tailed behavior -- a decreasing hazard rate or an increasing reverse hazard rate -- yields SD dominance, whereas two-sided light tails yield GMD dominance; when both the hazard and the reverse hazard rate are monotone, equality characterizes the exponential law. The sufficient conditions for SD dominance are stable under mixing, those for GMD dominance under convolution, and both under tail truncation, which makes them operational in frailty and collective risk models. We classify the severity, lifetime and frequency distributions of actuarial practice accordingly, quantify the consequences for SD- and Gini-loaded premium principles and for Gini-type tail risk measures, and show that the sign of $\SD-\GMD$ across thresholds furnishes a simple diagnostic for tail aging.

Suggested Citation

  • Nawaf Mohammed, 2026. "When Is the Gini Loading More Prudent? Tail Structure and the Ordering of the Standard Deviation and the Gini Mean Difference," Papers 2601.12414, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2026.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2601.12414
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    1. Boonen, Tim J. & Han, Xia, 2024. "Optimal insurance with mean-deviation measures," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 1-24.
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