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The Fourier estimator of spot volatility: Unbounded coefficients and jumps in the price process

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  • L. J. Espinosa Gonz'alez
  • Erick Trevi~no Aguilar

Abstract

In this paper we study the Fourier estimator of Malliavin and Mancino for the spot volatility. We establish the convergence of the trigonometric polynomial to the volatility's path in a setting that includes the following aspects. First, the volatility is required to satisfy a mild integrability condition, but otherwise allowed to be unbounded. Second, the price process is assumed to have cadlag paths, not necessarily continuous. We obtain convergence rates for the probability of a bad approximation in estimated coefficients, with a speed that allow to obtain an almost sure convergence and not just in probability in the estimated reconstruction of the volatility's path. This is a new result even in the setting of continuous paths. We prove that a rescaled trigonometric polynomial approximate the quadratic jump process.

Suggested Citation

  • L. J. Espinosa Gonz'alez & Erick Trevi~no Aguilar, 2026. "The Fourier estimator of spot volatility: Unbounded coefficients and jumps in the price process," Papers 2601.09074, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2601.09074
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