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Arbitrage-Free Pricing with Diffusion-Dependent Jumps

Author

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  • Hamza Virk
  • Yihren Wu
  • Majnu John

Abstract

Standard jump-diffusion models assume independence between jumps and diffusion components. We develop a multi-type jump-diffusion model where jump occurrence and magnitude depend on contemporaneous diffusion movements. Unlike previous one-sided models that create arbitrage opportunities, our framework includes upward and downward jumps triggered by both large upward and large downward diffusion increments. We derive the explicit no-arbitrage condition linking the physical drift to model parameters and market risk premia by constructing an Equivalent Martingale Measure using Girsanov's theorem and a normalized Esscher transform. This condition provides a rigorous foundation for arbitrage-free pricing in models with diffusion-dependent jumps.

Suggested Citation

  • Hamza Virk & Yihren Wu & Majnu John, 2025. "Arbitrage-Free Pricing with Diffusion-Dependent Jumps," Papers 2512.15071, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2512.15071
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    References listed on IDEAS

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