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Raking for estimation and inference in panel models with nonignorable attrition and refreshment

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Listed:
  • Grigory Franguridi
  • Jinyong Hahn
  • Pierre Hoonhout
  • Arie Kapteyn
  • Geert Ridder

Abstract

In panel data subject to nonignorable attrition, auxiliary (refreshment) sampling may restore full identification under weak assumptions on the attrition process. Despite their generality, these identification strategies have seen limited empirical use, largely because the implied estimation procedure requires solving a functional minimization problem for the target density. We show that this problem can be solved using the iterative proportional fitting (raking) algorithm, which converges rapidly even with continuous and moderately high-dimensional data. This resulting density estimator is then used as input into a parametric moment condition. We establish consistency and convergence rates for both the raking-based density estimator and the resulting moment estimator when the distributions of the observed data are parametric. We also derive a simple recursive procedure for estimating the asymptotic variance. Finally, we demonstrate the satisfactory performance of our estimator in simulations and provide an empirical illustration using data from the Understanding America Study panel.

Suggested Citation

  • Grigory Franguridi & Jinyong Hahn & Pierre Hoonhout & Arie Kapteyn & Geert Ridder, 2025. "Raking for estimation and inference in panel models with nonignorable attrition and refreshment," Papers 2512.13270, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2512.13270
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hausman, Jerry A & Wise, David A, 1979. "Attrition Bias in Experimental and Panel Data: The Gary Income Maintenance Experiment," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(2), pages 455-473, March.
    2. Keisuke Hirano & Guido W. Imbens & Geert Ridder & Donald B. Rubin, 2001. "Combining Panel Data Sets with Attrition and Refreshment Samples," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 69(6), pages 1645-1659, November.
    3. Ridder, Geert, 1992. "An empirical evaluation of some models for non-random attrition in panel data," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 3(2), pages 337-355, December.
    4. Grigory Franguridi & Laura Liu, 2025. "Inference in partially identified moment models via regularized optimal transport," Papers 2512.18084, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2025.
    5. Bhattacharya, Debopam, 2008. "Inference in panel data models under attrition caused by unobservables," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 144(2), pages 430-446, June.
    6. Pierre Hoonhout & Geert Ridder, 2019. "Nonignorable Attrition in Multi-Period Panels With Refreshment Samples," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(3), pages 377-390, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Grigory Franguridi & Laura Liu, 2025. "Inference in partially identified moment models via regularized optimal transport," Papers 2512.18084, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2025.

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