IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2512.07099.html

Limitations of Randomization Tests in Finite Samples

Author

Listed:
  • Deniz Dutz
  • Xinyi Zhang

Abstract

Randomization tests deliver exact finite-sample Type 1 error control when the null satisfies the randomization hypothesis. In practice, achieving these guarantees often requires stronger conditions than the null hypothesis of primary interest. For example, sign-change tests of mean zero require symmetry and need not control finite-sample size for non-symmetric mean-zero distributions. We investigate whether the mismatch between the null and the invariance conditions required for exactness reflects the use of particular transformations or a more fundamental limitation. We provide a simple necessary and sufficient condition for a null hypothesis to admit a randomization test. Applying this framework to one-sample problems, we characterize the nulls that admit randomization tests on finite supports and derive impossibility results on continuous supports. In particular, we show that several common nulls, including mean zero, do not admit randomization tests. We further show that, among one-sample tests using linear group actions, the admissible nulls are limited to subsets of symmetric or Gaussian distributions. These results confirm that the absence of exact finite-sample validity is inherent for many commonly studied nulls and that practitioners using existing tests are not foregoing feasible exact alternatives.

Suggested Citation

  • Deniz Dutz & Xinyi Zhang, 2025. "Limitations of Randomization Tests in Finite Samples," Papers 2512.07099, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2026.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2512.07099
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2512.07099
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ivan A. Canay & Joseph P. Romano & Azeem M. Shaikh, 2017. "Randomization Tests Under an Approximate Symmetry Assumption," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 85, pages 1013-1030, May.
    2. Lihua Lei & Peter J Bickel, 2021. "An assumption-free exact test for fixed-design linear models with exchangeable errors [Rank tests of sub-hypotheses in the general linear regression]," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 108(2), pages 397-412.
    3. Bai, Yuehao & Liu, Jizhou & Shaikh, Azeem M. & Tabord-Meehan, Max, 2024. "Inference in cluster randomized trials with matched pairs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 245(1).
    4. Cyrus J. DiCiccio & Joseph P. Romano, 2017. "Robust Permutation Tests For Correlation And Regression Coefficients," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 112(519), pages 1211-1220, July.
    5. Yao Zhang & Qingyuan Zhao, 2023. "What is a Randomization Test?," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 118(544), pages 2928-2942, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. David M. Ritzwoller & Joseph P. Romano & Azeem M. Shaikh, 2024. "Randomization Inference: Theory and Applications," Papers 2406.09521, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2025.
    2. Wen, Kaiyue & Wang, Tengyao & Wang, Yuhao, 2025. "Residual permutation test for regression coefficient testing," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 126275, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Purevdorj Tuvaandorj, 2021. "Robust Permutation Tests in Linear Instrumental Variables Regression," Papers 2111.13774, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
    4. Young, Alwyn, 2024. "Asymptotically robust permutation-based randomization confidence intervals for parametric OLS regression," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 120933, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Jizhou Liu & Azeem M. Shaikh & Panos Toulis, 2025. "Randomization Inference in Two-Sided Market Experiments," Papers 2504.06215, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2026.
    6. Young, Alwyn, 2024. "Asymptotically robust permutation-based randomization confidence intervals for parametric OLS regression," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    7. Zhao, Anqi & Ding, Peng, 2021. "Covariate-adjusted Fisher randomization tests for the average treatment effect," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 278-294.
    8. MacKinnon, James G. & Webb, Matthew D., 2020. "Randomization inference for difference-in-differences with few treated clusters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 435-450.
    9. Luis Alvarez & Bruno Ferman, 2020. "Inference in Difference-in-Differences with Few Treated Units and Spatial Correlation," Papers 2006.16997, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
    10. Ivan A Canay & Vishal Kamat, 2018. "Approximate Permutation Tests and Induced Order Statistics in the Regression Discontinuity Design," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 85(3), pages 1577-1608.
    11. Hagemann, Andreas, 2019. "Placebo inference on treatment effects when the number of clusters is small," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 213(1), pages 190-209.
    12. Beare, Brendan K. & Seo, Juwon, 2020. "Randomization Tests Of Copula Symmetry," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 36(6), pages 1025-1063, December.
    13. Yusuke Narita, 2021. "A Theory of Quasi-Experimental Evaluation of School Quality," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(8), pages 4982-5010, August.
    14. Stefan Beierl & Marina Dodlova, 2022. "Public Works Programmes and Cooperation for the Common Good: Evidence from Malawi," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 34(3), pages 1264-1284, June.
    15. Jinyong Hahn & Ruoyao Shi, 2017. "Synthetic Control and Inference," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-12, November.
    16. Wang, Wenjie, 2021. "Wild Bootstrap for Instrumental Variables Regression with Weak Instruments and Few Clusters," MPRA Paper 106227, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Hansen, Bruce E. & Lee, Seojeong, 2019. "Asymptotic theory for clustered samples," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(2), pages 268-290.
    18. Johannes W. Ligtenberg, 2023. "Inference in clustered IV models with many and weak instruments," Papers 2306.08559, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2025.
    19. Stefano Bonnini & Getnet Melak Assegie & Kamila Trzcinska, 2024. "Review about the Permutation Approach in Hypothesis Testing," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-29, August.
    20. Bojan Basrak & Darko Brborović, 2024. "Permutation test of tail dependence," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 33(1), pages 89-129, March.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2512.07099. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.