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Direct Bias-Correction Term Estimation for Average Treatment Effect Estimation

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  • Masahiro Kato

Abstract

This study considers the estimation of the direct bias-correction term for estimating the average treatment effect (ATE). Let $\{(X_i, D_i, Y_i)\}_{i=1}^{n}$ be the observations, where $X_i$ denotes $K$-dimensional covariates, $D_i \in \{0, 1\}$ denotes a binary treatment assignment indicator, and $Y_i$ denotes an outcome. In ATE estimation, $h_0(D_i, X_i) = \frac{1[D_i = 1]}{e_0(X_i)} - \frac{1[D_i = 0]}{1 - e_0(X_i)}$ is called the bias-correction term, where $e_0(X_i)$ is the propensity score. The bias-correction term is also referred to as the Riesz representer or clever covariates, depending on the literature, and plays an important role in construction of efficient ATE estimators. In this study, we propose estimating $h_0$ by directly minimizing the Bregman divergence between its model and $h_0$, which includes squared error and Kullback--Leibler divergence as special cases. Our proposed method is inspired by direct density ratio estimation methods and generalizes existing bias-correction term estimation methods, such as covariate balancing weights, Riesz regression, and nearest neighbor matching. Importantly, under specific choices of bias-correction term models and Bregman divergence, we can automatically ensure the covariate balancing property. Thus, our study provides a practical modeling and estimation approach through a generalization of existing methods.

Suggested Citation

  • Masahiro Kato, 2025. "Direct Bias-Correction Term Estimation for Average Treatment Effect Estimation," Papers 2509.22122, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2026.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2509.22122
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    1. Hainmueller, Jens, 2012. "Entropy Balancing for Causal Effects: A Multivariate Reweighting Method to Produce Balanced Samples in Observational Studies," Political Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 20(1), pages 25-46, January.
    2. Susan Athey & Guido W. Imbens & Stefan Wager, 2018. "Approximate residual balancing: debiased inference of average treatment effects in high dimensions," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 80(4), pages 597-623, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Masahiro Kato, 2025. "Semi-Supervised Treatment Effect Estimation with Unlabeled Covariates for Prediction-Powered Causal Inference," Papers 2511.08303, arXiv.org, revised May 2026.

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