IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2311.17981.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Optimizing the Generation and Transmission Capacity of Offshore Wind Parks under Weather Uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • David Kroger
  • Jan Peper
  • Nils Offermann
  • Christian Rehtanz

Abstract

Offshore wind power in the North Sea is considered a main pillar in Europe's future energy system. A key challenge lies in determining the optimal spatial capacity allocation of offshore wind parks in combination with the dimensioning and layout of the connecting high-voltage direct current grid infrastructure. To determine economically cost optimal configurations, we apply an integrated capacity and transmission expansion problem within a pan-European electricity market and transmission grid model with a high spatial and temporal granularity. By conducting scenario analysis for the year 2030 with a gradually increasing CO2 price, possible offshore expansion paths are derived and presented. Special emphasis is laid on the effects of weather uncertainty by incorporating data from 21 historical weather years in the analysis. Two key findings are (i) an expansion in addition to the existing offshore wind capacity of 0 GW (136 EUR/tCO2), 12 GW (159 EUR/tCO2) and 30 GW (186 EUR/tCO2) dependent on the underlying CO2 price. (ii) A strong sensitivity of the results towards the underlying weather data highlighting the importance of incorporating multiple weather years.

Suggested Citation

  • David Kroger & Jan Peper & Nils Offermann & Christian Rehtanz, 2023. "Optimizing the Generation and Transmission Capacity of Offshore Wind Parks under Weather Uncertainty," Papers 2311.17981, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2311.17981
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2311.17981
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2311.17981. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.