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Inefficient Peace or Preventive War?

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Listed:
  • Liqun Liu

    (\"Undes)

  • Tusi

    (\"Undes)

  • Wen

Abstract

We study a model of two-player bargaining game in the shadow of a preventive trade war that examines why states deliberately maintain trade barriers in the age of globalization. Globalization can induce substantial power shifts between states, which makes the threat of a preventive trade war salient. In this situation, there may exist "healthy" levels of trade barriers that dampen the war incentives by reducing states' expected payoffs from such a war. Thus, we demonstrate that trade barriers can sometimes serve as breaks and cushions necessary to sustain inefficient yet peaceful economic cooperation between states. We assess the theoretical implications by examining the US-China trade relations since 1972.

Suggested Citation

  • Liqun Liu & Tusi & Wen, 2021. "Inefficient Peace or Preventive War?," Papers 2111.15598, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2111.15598
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    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2111.15598
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