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Schumpeterian economic dynamics as a quantifiable minimum model of evolution

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  • Stefan Thurner
  • Peter Klimek
  • Rudolf Hanel

Abstract

We propose a simple quantitative model of Schumpeterian economic dynamics. New goods and services are endogenously produced through combinations of existing goods. As soon as new goods enter the market they may compete against already existing goods, in other words new products can have destructive effects on existing goods. As a result of this competition mechanism existing goods may be driven out from the market - often causing cascades of secondary defects (Schumpeterian gales of destruction). The model leads to a generic dynamics characterized by phases of relative economic stability followed by phases of massive restructuring of markets - which could be interpreted as Schumpeterian business `cycles'. Model timeseries of product diversity and productivity reproduce several stylized facts of economics timeseries on long timescales such as GDP or business failures, including non-Gaussian fat tailed distributions, volatility clustering etc. The model is phrased in an open, non-equilibrium setup which can be understood as a self organized critical system. Its diversity dynamics can be understood by the time-varying topology of the active production networks.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefan Thurner & Peter Klimek & Rudolf Hanel, 2009. "Schumpeterian economic dynamics as a quantifiable minimum model of evolution," Papers 0909.3482, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:0909.3482
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    Cited by:

    1. Peter Klimek & Ricardo Hausmann & Stefan Thurner, 2012. "Empirical Confirmation of Creative Destruction from World Trade Data," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(6), pages 1-9, June.
    2. Fry, J. M. & Masood, Omar, 2011. "Testable implications of economic revolutions: An application to historic data on European wages," MPRA Paper 32812, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Abhijit Kar Gupta, 2010. "Punctuated Equilibrium and Power Law in Economic Dynamics," Papers 1012.5896, arXiv.org.

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