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Fractality feature in oil price fluctuations

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  • M. Momeni
  • I. Kourakis
  • K. Talebi

Abstract

The scaling properties of oil price fluctuations are described as a non-stationary stochastic process realized by a time series of finite length. An original model is used to extract the scaling exponent of the fluctuation functions within a non-stationary process formulation. It is shown that, when returns are measured over intervals less than 10 days, the Probability Density Functions (PDFs) exhibit self-similarity and monoscaling, in contrast to the multifractal behavior of the PDFs at macro-scales (typically larger than one month). We find that the time evolution of the distributions are well fitted by a Levy distribution law at micro-scales. The relevance of a Levy distribution is made plausible by a simple model of nonlinear transfer

Suggested Citation

  • M. Momeni & I. Kourakis & K. Talebi, 2008. "Fractality feature in oil price fluctuations," Papers 0809.1139, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:0809.1139
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    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/0809.1139
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