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Metas Para Inflação E Variáveis Macroeconômicas: Uma Avaliação Empírica

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  • Helder Ferreira de Mendonça

Abstract

The main objective of this paper is to analyze if the adoption of inflation targeting implies changes in the behavior of several macroeconomic variables, especially in the unemployment rate. For this, empirical evidences based on a set of fourteen countries that adopted explicit inflation targeting are shown. Furthermore, a particular analysis for the Brazilian case through a VAR that considers the following variables: unemployment rate, Selic, inflation, industrial production, and inflation targeting credibility, is made. Among several findings taken from international experience, it is observed that there is the possibility of unemployment-inflation trade-off becoming relevant after the adoption of targets. In relation to theBrazilian case, the main point for the attainment of good results for the economy is the neces sity of the monetary regime having a high credibility.

Suggested Citation

  • Helder Ferreira de Mendonça, 2005. "Metas Para Inflação E Variáveis Macroeconômicas: Uma Avaliação Empírica," Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 040, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    • Handle: RePEc:anp:en2005:040
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    File URL: http://www.anpec.org.br/encontro2005/artigos/A05A040.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Elaine Cristina de Piza & Joilson Dias, 2006. "Novo Consenso Macroeconômico E Política Monetária No Brasil: Uma Avaliação Empírica," Anais do XXXIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 34th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 164, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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