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Fluxos De Capitais E Componentes Macroecômicos: Análise De Inter-Relações Através Da Aplicação De Um Modelo De Vetores Auto-Regressivos (Var)

Author

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  • Alessandro Maia Pinheiro
  • Mário Miguel Amin

Abstract

The present work aims to investigate the dynamic interactions between capital flows, public debt, country risk, interest rate differential and stock of foreign exchange in Brazil in the period 1995-2004. The vector autoregressive model (VAR) and the vector error correction model (VEC) constituted the empirical framework used. Its tools (impulse response functions and variance decomposition) allowed observing in general terms that Brazilian policy makers face strong difficulties when the objective is to stimulate the economic growth. This occurs especially because the interest rate differential represents a key-component manipulated to avoid the liquid capital flows decreasing and to keep the stability of prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Alessandro Maia Pinheiro & Mário Miguel Amin, 2005. "Fluxos De Capitais E Componentes Macroecômicos: Análise De Inter-Relações Através Da Aplicação De Um Modelo De Vetores Auto-Regressivos (Var)," Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 036, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
  • Handle: RePEc:anp:en2005:036
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    File URL: http://www.anpec.org.br/encontro2005/artigos/A05A036.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Fuinhas, José Alberto & Marques, António Cardoso & Nogueira, David Coito, 2014. "Análise VAR dos índices bolsistas SP500, FTSE100, PSI20, HSI e IBOVESPA
      [Integration of the indexes SP500, FTSE100, PSI20, HSI and IBOVESPA: A VAR approach]
      ," MPRA Paper 62092, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 10 Feb 2015.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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