IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/anp/en2005/027.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The Economic Determinants Of The Brazilian Term Structure Of Interest Rates

Author

Listed:
  • Rodrigo Sekkel
  • Denisard Alves

Abstract

The purpose of the present study is to identify the effects of monetary policy and macroeconomic shocks on the dynamics of the Brazilian term structure of interest rates. We estimate a near-VAR under the identification scheme proposed by Christiano et al. (1996, 1999). The results resemble that of the US economy: monetary policy shocks flatten the term structure of interest rates. Nevertheless, we find that monetary policy shocks in Brazil appear to explain a significant larger share of the dynamics of the term structure than in the USA. Finally, we also study the importance of standard macroeconomic variables, as GDP, inflation and specially, a measure of country risk for the dynamics of the term structure in Brazil. The empirical evidence allows us to infer that as the Brazilian term structure of interest rates increase its maturities, the more important will macroeconomic shocks be to its determination.

Suggested Citation

  • Rodrigo Sekkel & Denisard Alves, 2005. "The Economic Determinants Of The Brazilian Term Structure Of Interest Rates," Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 027, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
  • Handle: RePEc:anp:en2005:027
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.anpec.org.br/encontro2005/artigos/A05A027.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Waud, Roger N, 1976. "Asymmetric Policymaker Utility Functions and Optimal Policy Under Uncertainty," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 44(1), pages 53-66, January.
    2. Friedman, Benjamin Morton, 1972. "Optimal Economic Stabilization Policy: An Extended Framework," Scholarly Articles 4554308, Harvard University Department of Economics.
    3. Taylor, John B., 2001. "An Interview With Milton Friedman," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(01), pages 101-131, February.
    4. William A. Barnett, 2001. "A Conversation with Henri (Hans) Theil: His Experiences in the Netherlands during the Second World War," Econometrics 0111001, EconWPA.
    5. W. W. Cooper, 1955. "Presidential Address to TIMS," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 1(2), pages 183-186, January.
    6. repec:cup:macdyn:v:5:y:2001:i:1:p:101-31 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Friedman, Benjamin M, 1972. "Optimal Economic Stabilization Policy: An Extended Framework," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 80(5), pages 1002-1022, Sept.-Oct.
    8. Chow, Gregory C, 1970. "Optimal Stochastic Control of Linear Economic Systems," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 2(3), pages 291-302, August.
    9. W. W. Cooper, 1951. "A Proposal for Extending the Theory of the Firm," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 65(1), pages 87-109.
    10. Charles C. Holt & Franco Modigliani & Herbert A. Simon, 1955. "A Linear Decision Rule for Production and Employment Scheduling," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 2(1), pages 1-30, October.
    11. Charles C. Holt & Franco Modigliani & John F. Muth, 1956. "Derivation of a Linear Decision Rule for Production and Employment," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 2(2), pages 159-177, January.
    12. Poole, William, 1975. "The 1975 Report of the President's Council of Economic Advisers: Long on Analysis, Short on Policy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 65(4), pages 539-547, September.
    13. L. Wheaton Smith, Jr., 1956. "Current Status of the Industrial Use of Linear Programming," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 2(2), pages 156-158, January.
    14. Sargent, Thomas J & Wallace, Neil, 1973. "Rational Expectations and the Dynamics of Hyperinflation," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 14(2), pages 328-350, June.
    15. Mirowski,Philip, 2002. "Machine Dreams," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521772839, March.
    16. Thomas J. Sargent, 1971. "The Optimum Monetary Instrument Variable in a Linear Economic Model," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 4(1), pages 50-60, February.
    17. E. C. Hope, 1953. "Discussion," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 2(1), pages 86-88, March.
    18. Kareken, John H, 1970. "The Optimum Monetary Instrument Variable: A Comment," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 2(3), pages 385-390, August.
    19. Mirowski,Philip, 2002. "Machine Dreams," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521775267, March.
    20. Muench, Thomas & Wallace, Neil, 1974. "On Stabilization Policy: Goals and Models," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 64(2), pages 330-337, May.
    21. William Poole, 1970. "Optimal Choice of Monetary Policy Instruments in a Simple Stochastic Macro Model," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 84(2), pages 197-216.
    22. Holbrook, Robert S & Shapiro, Harold, 1970. "The Choice of Optimal Intermediate Economic Targets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 60(2), pages 40-46, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Júlio Cesar Albuquerque Bastos & Gabriel Caldas Montes, 2011. "Metasde Inflação E Estrutura A Termo Das Taxas De Juros - Uma Análise Dainfluência Da Credibilidade Sobre O Spread Da Taxa De Juros De Longoprazo No Brasil," Anais do XXXVIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 38th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 142, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E53 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Deposit Insurance

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:anp:en2005:027. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Rodrigo Zadra Armond). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/anpecea.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.