Fiabilidad de las estadísticas de comercio exterior referentes a América Latina y el Caribe (1908-1930) - Una aproximación al patron geográfico de las discrepancias distributivas a traves del carbón
The statistical accuracy of Historical Foreign Trade Sources has been stated by Federico and Tena (1991) and Tena (1985, 19991 y 1992). This article follows his works in the most suspect field: geographical distribution. We have use Latin American Coal Trade Data among 1908-1930. Most international trade, considering weight, was coal trade; meanwhile it is an ideal product to isolate geographical effects. Statistical disagreements persistence makes us to think this is not a random phenomenon. We have specified an econometric model based on distance. Results show that including geography we can understand statistical disagreements. As a consequence Latin American Sources appear reasonably accurate, as well as those of its trade partners, considering each geographical pattern. The knowledge of the statistical sources error allows us to learn about their reliability margins.
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