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Fontes De Crescimento Das Exportações Do Complexo Soja Brasileiro

Author

Listed:
  • Coronel, Daniel Arruda
  • Carvalho, Fatima Marilia Andrade de
  • Machado, Joao Armando Dessimon

Abstract

O objetivo deste trabalho é identificar as principais fontes de crescimento das exportações brasileiras de soja em grão, farelo e óleo de 1995 a 2004. Para tanto, utilizou-se o modelo de comércio internacional Constant-Market-Share, que permitiu decompor as fontes de crescimento em quatro efeitos, quais sejam, crescimento do comércio mundial, composição da pauta, destino das exportações e competitividade. Os dados para o cálculo do modelo Constant-Market-Share foram coletados junto ao Sistema de Análise das Informações de Comércio Exterior (ALICE), da Secretaria de Comércio Exterior (SECEX), que possui os dados de exportações brasileiras Free on Board (FOB) em dólares, à Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) e à Organização Mundial do Comércio (OMC). Os resultados indicaram que as principais fontes de crescimento para o grão, o farelo e o óleo de soja do período II em relação ao período I foi a competitividade, e do período III em relação ao período II foi o crescimento do comércio mundial. The aim of this paper is identify the principal sources of growth on Brazilian exports of soy in grain, bran and oil from 1995 to 2004. For this, it was used the model of international commerce Constant-Market-Share, which allowed analyzing the sources of growth in four effects: growth of the world commerce, composition of the subject, destiny of the exports and competitiveness. The data to calculate the model Constant-Market-Share were collected from the System of Analysis of Informations from the Exterior Commerce (ALICE), the General Office of Exterior Commerce (SECEX), that has the data of Brazilian exports Free on Board (FOB) in dollars, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) and the World-wide Organization of the Commerce (WTO). The results indicated that the principal sources of growth for the grain, the bran and the oil soy oil during the period II in relation to the period I was the competitiveness, and during the period III according to the period II was the growth of the world commerce.

Suggested Citation

  • Coronel, Daniel Arruda & Carvalho, Fatima Marilia Andrade de & Machado, Joao Armando Dessimon, 2008. "Fontes De Crescimento Das Exportações Do Complexo Soja Brasileiro," 46th Congress, July 20-23, 2008, Rio Branco, Acre, Brazil 103128, Sociedade Brasileira de Economia, Administracao e Sociologia Rural (SOBER).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:sbrfsr:103128
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.103128
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    International Relations/Trade;

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