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Corn and Soybean Pricing Strategies Using FAPRI Baselines and Ranges

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Listed:
  • Scull, Emily
  • Jaegers, Daniels
  • Green, Matthew
  • Foster, Melinda
  • Frizzell, Reece
  • Brees, Melvin
  • Womack, Abner

Abstract

This research model examines the use of FAPRI baselines and ranges to develop marketing strategies for the sale of corn and soybeans. The goal was to create a disciplined and objective approach for selling crop which would ultimately increase prices received over the 2008-2018 10-year period. Three strategies were developed: A Price Objective strategy which makes upside sales, a Trailing Stop strategy which makes downside sales, and a Seasonal Sale strategy which makes structured sales during historically high times. Additional methods for selling were implemented into each strategy including All Time High sales, sales made when there is a Five Percent Drop from the Ten Day High, and End of the Year Trailing Stop sales. Multi-year sales were also considered separately and included the same strategies and methods for selling. Results showed that all strategies out-performed USDA average farm prices received for the period examined. The results of this research could shape future models and increase economic gains for agricultural producers.

Suggested Citation

  • Scull, Emily & Jaegers, Daniels & Green, Matthew & Foster, Melinda & Frizzell, Reece & Brees, Melvin & Womack, Abner, 2020. "Corn and Soybean Pricing Strategies Using FAPRI Baselines and Ranges," 2020 Conference, St. Louis, Missouri 309642, NCR-134/ NCCC-134 Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:nccc20:309642
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.309642
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